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Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion im. Orła Białego, Legnica
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Majewski R.
Assist: Jedrasik J.
60'
Sub
Stanclik D. In: Mansfeld M.
Out: Stanclik D.
60'
Sub
Bochnak M. In: Norlin G.
Out: Bochnak M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Legnica and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Legnica
15%
Draws
73%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Legnica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Legnica taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Legnica Clean Sheet 17%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnica Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Division 1
Legnica vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Legnica
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Majewski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnica 41 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnica Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legnica VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnica

(Home)
03 Oct
Zaglebie
1 : 0
Legnica
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
2 : 1
Legnica
05 Sept
Legnica
1 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
02 Sept
Legnica
0 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Away)
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
01 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
5 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
13 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)