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Leher vs ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leher play ATSV Sebaldsbruck in the Oberliga Bremen. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leher averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. ATSV Sebaldsbruck averaged 1.47 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. In past meetings, Leher won 1, ATSV Sebaldsbruck won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Leher and 1.44 for ATSV Sebaldsbruck. This points to a Leher double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Leher
15%
Draws
30%
ATSV Sebaldsbruck
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Leher picked up more points recently compared to ATSV Sebaldsbruck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.94 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Leher Clean Sheet 16%
ATSV Sebaldsbruck Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leher ATSV Sebaldsbruck
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.73 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.07 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ATSV Sebaldsbruck
5:2
Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
ATSV Sebaldsbruck vs Leher
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leher 53 / 100
ATSV Sebaldsbruck 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leher ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Leher & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leher attacking → ← attacking ATSV Sebaldsbruck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leher scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

ATSV Sebaldsbruck let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Leher went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

ATSV Sebaldsbruck lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 16
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Blumenthaler30243395:3575
2Hemelingen302343111:3173
3OSC Bremerhaven30204686:4064
4Eiche Horn30202869:3762
5Brinkumer30165981:5053
6BTS Neustadt301621286:7350
7Union 60 Bremen301531272:6548
8Werder Bremen III301231560:6739
9Oberneuland301061465:5836
10ESC Geestemunde301051556:8135
11Leher301041652:6234
12Aumund-Vegesack301111855:7934
13Vatan Bremen30921949:9129
14Woltmershausen30651943:9023
15Habenhauser30712242:9722
16ATSV Sebaldsbruck30442244:11016