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Leicester U18 vs Stoke City U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Bradbury L.
Assist: Alcock T.
48' Event
Kelly I.
Assist: Bardsley R.
60' Event
Fletcher J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League U18 game between Leicester U18 and Stoke City U18 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leicester U18
30%
Draws
23%
Stoke City U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leicester U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leicester U18 come out ahead of Stoke City U18 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Leicester U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U18 Stoke City U18
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League U18
Leicester U18 vs Stoke City U18
2:2
Apr 12, 2014 Premier League U18
Stoke City U18 vs Leicester U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stoke City U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradbury L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelly I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U18 30 / 100
Stoke City U18 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U18 Stoke City U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U18 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Stoke City U18 let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Stoke City U18 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U18 VS Stoke City U18
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2
Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
09 May
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2
Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2
Derby U18
05 Sept
Stoke City U18
5 : 8
Manchester City U18
29 Aug
Nottingham U18
3 : 1
Stoke City U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 6 4 0 2 25:10 12
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 6 1 1 4 9:22 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)