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Leicester vs Genoa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sub
Nelson B. In: Evans J.
Out: Nelson B.
69' Event
Colombo L.

AI Match Summary

Genoa in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Leicester
30%
Draws
33%
Genoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Genoa have won more games recently than Leicester.
  • Model gives Leicester a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leicester Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Genoa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Leicester vs Genoa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Genoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 85 / 100
Genoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Genoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Genoa has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Leicester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Genoa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
15 Aug
Notts County
1 : 1
Leicester
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0
Northampton
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1
Genoa
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
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Genoa

(Away)
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1
Ascoli
08 Aug
Genoa
0 : 1
Dep. A Coruna
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1
Genoa
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1
Genoa
25 Jul
Genoa
2 : 2
Vicenza
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