Sport Picks
Leicester vs Oxford Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League One King Power Stadium, Leicester 
Match Events
8'
8'
Harris M.
Assist: Missanga M.
34'
34'
Andrews K.
46'
46'
Sub
De Cordova-Reid B. In: Doyle K.
Out: De Cordova-Reid B.
AI Match Summary
The League One game between Leicester and Oxford Utd finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oxford Utd come out ahead of Leicester on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leicester Clean Sheet 11%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leicester | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League One
Leicester vs Oxford Utd
0:4
Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Leicester vs Oxford Utd
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Leicester
2:2
Jul 19, 2016 Club Friendly
Oxford Utd vs Leicester
1:2
Apr 23, 1994 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Leicester
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leicester Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Oxford Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Missanga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leicester 35 / 100
Oxford Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leicester Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Leicester scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Oxford Utd has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Leicester remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leicester VS Oxford Utd
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leicester
(Home) 06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1 Leicester
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1 Fulham U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4 Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1 Fulham U21
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0 Plymouth
22 Aug
Leicester
1 : 2 Burton
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 3
Oxford Utd
(Away) 06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
