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Leicester vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy King Power Stadium, Leicester
Tue, Nov 10, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Leicester at 1.61 goals for, 1.29 against; Walsall at 1.15 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Leicester have won 4 to Walsall's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Leicester. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Leicester
30%
Draws
42%
Walsall
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leicester come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Leicester have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leicester have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leicester Clean Sheet 20%
Walsall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Walsall
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.61 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2024 EFL Cup
Walsall vs Leicester
0:1
Jan 28, 2023 FA Cup
Walsall vs Leicester
0:1
Jul 30, 2014 Club Friendly
Walsall vs Leicester
2:3
Feb 3, 2009 League One
Walsall vs Leicester
1:4
Oct 21, 2008 League One
Leicester vs Walsall
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 32 / 100
Walsall 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Walsall conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Leicester went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Walsall
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
24 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Leicester
20 Oct
Bromley
0 : 4
Leicester
17 Oct
Leicester
2 : 1
Doncaster
10 Oct
Leicester
1 : 3
Peterborough
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

Walsall

(Away)
20 Oct
Walsall
3 : 0
Oldham
17 Oct
Swindon
1 : 1
Walsall
13 Oct
Walsall
3 : 2
Fulham U21
10 Oct
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Walsall
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:6 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oldham 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 6:7 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 2 1 0 1 4:8 3
4 Fulham U21 2 0 0 2 3:9 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Chelsea U21 3 2 0 1 5:4 5
3 Reading 2 1 0 1 1:3 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
3 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)