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Leiknir Faskruds vs Hottur

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Grzelak A.

AI Match Summary

Leiknir Faskruds in this Division 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiknir Faskruds.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Leiknir Faskruds
15%
Draws
53%
Hottur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hottur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Leiknir Faskruds have won more games recently than Hottur.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leiknir Faskruds Clean Sheet 11%
Hottur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiknir Faskruds Hottur
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2018 Division 2
Hottur vs Leiknir Faskruds
2:0
Jun 29, 2018 Division 2
Leiknir Faskruds vs Hottur
1:0
Sep 19, 2015 Division 2
Hottur vs Leiknir Faskruds
3:1
Jul 10, 2015 Division 2
Leiknir Faskruds vs Hottur
1:0
May 2, 2014 Icelandic Cup
Leiknir Faskruds vs Hottur
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiknir Faskruds Compare

Top Goalscorer Grzelak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Hottur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiknir Faskruds 29 / 100
Hottur 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiknir Faskruds Hottur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiknir Faskruds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hottur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Leiknir Faskruds scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leiknir Faskruds stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiknir Faskruds VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiknir Faskruds

(Home)
18 Sept
Fjardabyggd
0 : 3
Leiknir Faskruds
11 Sept
Leiknir Faskruds
3 : 1
Njardvik
04 Sept
KV Reykjavik
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
27 Aug
Leiknir Faskruds
0 : 1
Magni
22 Aug
Throttur Vogar
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
Page 1 of 7

Hottur

(Away)
05 Jan
Hottur
2 : 0
Tindastoll
22 Sept
Hottur
1 : 3
Afturelding
15 Sept
Volsungur
2 : 3
Hottur
08 Sept
Hottur
2 : 0
Leiknir Faskruds
02 Sept
Kari
2 : 2
Hottur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 13 6 3 58:27 45
2 Grotta 22 14 3 5 54:28 45
3 Vestri 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Volsungur 22 12 4 6 45:31 40
5 Kari 22 12 2 8 46:44 38
6 Throttur Vogar 22 9 6 7 36:31 33
7 Fjardabyggd 22 8 4 10 27:32 28
8 Tindastoll 22 7 3 12 28:53 24
9 Vidir 22 6 5 11 28:36 23
10 Leiknir Faskruds 22 5 7 10 31:36 22
11 Hottur 22 5 6 11 31:49 21
12 Huginn 22 1 3 18 13:55 6
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Inkasso-deildin 2019 (Main)