Sport Picks
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Arbaer Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Icelandic Cup 2023 Leiknisvöllur, Reykjavík 
Match Events
12'
12'
Matthiasson D.
64'
64'
Sowe O.
AI Match Summary
Leiknir Reykjavik in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiknir Reykjavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Arbaer haven't matched Leiknir Reykjavik's recent run of results.
- Leiknir Reykjavik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Leiknir Reykjavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leiknir Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 20%
Arbaer Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiknir Reykjavik | Arbaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 15 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Arbaer
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiknir Reykjavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Matthiasson D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sowe O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Arbaer Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiknir Reykjavik 85 / 100
Arbaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiknir Reykjavik Arbaer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arbaer has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.
Leiknir Reykjavik's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Arbaer's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Leiknir Reykjavik VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiknir Reykjavik
(Home) 05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0 Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0 Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1 Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0 Njardvik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
07 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Fylkir
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5 Throttur
10 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
0 : 1 Grotta
Page 1 of 4
Arbaer
(Away) 05 Apr
Arbaer
1 : 7 Aegir
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
19 Mar
Arbaer
1 : 0 Hafnir
16 Jul
Arbaer
3 : 4 Kormakur/Hvot
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
Page 1 of 3
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5 Arbaer
04 Apr
Kari
8 : 1 Arbaer
21 Sept
Selfoss
4 : 1 Arbaer
06 Aug
Vaengirs
1 : 3 Arbaer
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
