Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023 Leiknisvöllur

Arbaer

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leiknir Reykjavik play Arbaer in the Icelandic Cup 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leiknir Reykjavik averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Arbaer averaged 2 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Leiknir Reykjavik won 1, Arbaer won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 8, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.67 for Arbaer. This points to a Leiknir Reykjavik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Leiknir Reykjavik

17%

Draws

38%

Arbaer

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Leiknir Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Leiknir Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to Arbaer.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.67 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 13%

Arbaer Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leiknir Reykjavik	Arbaer
Matches Played	32	15
Wins	13	8
Draws	8	0
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.69	2
Goals Conceded	1.56	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Icelandic Cup

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Arbaer

Possession: 40% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Matthiasson D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sowe O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Arbaer Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiknir Reykjavik 43 / 100

Arbaer 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leiknir Reykjavik Arbaer

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leiknir Reykjavik or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leiknir Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking Arbaer

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiknir Reykjavik scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Arbaer let in goals in 93% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leiknir Reykjavik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arbaer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 24

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.33

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.33