Sport Picks
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Smari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iceland
Icelandic Cup Leiknisvöllur, Reykjavík 
Match Events
50'
50'
Hardarson A.
56'
56'
Gunnarsson D.
73'
73'
Gunnarsson D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiknir Reykjavik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Leiknir Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Leiknir Reykjavik a 43% chance of winning this.
- Leiknir Reykjavik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leiknir Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 20%
Smari Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiknir Reykjavik | Smari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 10 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Smari
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiknir Reykjavik Compare
Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hardarson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Smari Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiknir Reykjavik 85 / 100
Smari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiknir Reykjavik Smari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Smari conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.
Leiknir Reykjavik scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Smari's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Leiknir Reykjavik VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiknir Reykjavik
(Home) 05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2 Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0 Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0 Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1 Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0 Njardvik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1 Aegir
07 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Fylkir
23 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
1 : 5 Throttur
10 Jul
Leiknir Reykjavik
0 : 1 Grotta
Page 1 of 3
Smari
(Away) 28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
21 Mar
Smari
3 : 2 Skallagrimur
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0 Falkar
05 Apr
Smari
2 : 3 Arbaer
Page 1 of 2
28 Mar
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0 Smari
09 Apr
Olafsvik
5 : 1 Smari
31 Mar
Berserkir / Midas
1 : 2 Smari
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1
