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Leioa vs Sodupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leioa host Sodupe in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Leioa at 1.56 goals for, 1.5 against; Sodupe at 0.97 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Leioa slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2014, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.13) point toward Leioa. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Leioa
35%
Draws
20%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Sodupe on wins alone.
  • Leioa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leioa Clean Sheet 10%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leioa Sodupe
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.56 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Leioa
0:2
Nov 30, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Sodupe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leioa 83 / 100
Sodupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leioa Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Leioa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sodupe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Leioa VS Sodupe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leioa

(Home)
10 Oct
Leioa
4 : 0
Aurrera de Vitoria
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
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Sodupe

(Away)
10 Oct
Sodupe
1 : 0
Touring KE
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)