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Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 host Benfica U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Benfica U19 have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Leiria U19 have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Benfica U19 slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Benfica U19. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leiria U19
20%
Draws
57%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Benfica U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Benfica U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Benfica U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 20
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.52 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:0
May 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
5:2
Mar 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Leiria U19
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Benfica U19
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 10 / 100
Benfica U19 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Leiria U19's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Benfica U19 let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Leiria U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Benfica U19
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
17 Oct
SC Farense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
10 Oct
Leiria U19
2 : 0
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 7

Benfica U19

(Away)
17 Oct
Benfica U19
4 : 0
Sporting CP U19
11 Oct
Santa Clara U19
2 : 0
Benfica U19
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 9 5 1 3 12:10 16
3 Rio Ave U19 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
4 Feirense U19 8 3 2 3 6:7 11
5 Gil Vicente U19 8 3 2 3 5:8 11
6 Braga U19 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
7 Academico Viseu U19 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Famalicao U19 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Moreirense U19 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Vizela U19 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 8 5 2 1 20:7 17
2 Sporting CP U19 8 5 2 1 12:8 17
3 Santa Clara U19 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
4 Torreense U19 8 3 2 3 12:11 11
5 Oriental U19 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
6 Casa Pia U19 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
7 Mafra U19 8 2 3 3 7:14 9
8 SC Farense U19 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
9 Leiria U19 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
10 Alverca U19 8 1 3 4 9:15 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)