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Leiria U19 vs Mafra U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
16' Event

AI Match Summary

Mafra U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leiria U19
30%
Draws
39%
Mafra U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Leiria U19 average 1.45 goals a game right now, well clear of Mafra U19's 1.38.
  • Leiria U19 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Mafra U19
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Mafra U19
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Mafra U19
6:3
Sep 27, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Leiria U19
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 76 / 100
Mafra U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Mafra U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mafra U19 conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Leiria U19 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Leiria U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Mafra U19
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
17 Oct
SC Farense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
10 Oct
Leiria U19
2 : 0
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 6

Mafra U19

(Away)
17 Oct
Mafra U19
0 : 1
Casa Pia U19
10 Oct
Sporting CP U19
1 : 1
Mafra U19
19 Sept
Mafra U19
1 : 1
Benfica U19
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 8 6 1 1 22:6 19
2 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 9 5 1 3 12:10 16
3 Rio Ave U19 8 4 2 2 7:4 14
4 Feirense U19 8 3 2 3 6:7 11
5 Gil Vicente U19 8 3 2 3 5:8 11
6 Braga U19 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
7 Academico Viseu U19 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Famalicao U19 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
9 Moreirense U19 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
10 Vizela U19 8 2 1 5 7:17 7
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 8 5 2 1 20:7 17
2 Sporting CP U19 8 5 2 1 12:8 17
3 Santa Clara U19 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
4 Torreense U19 8 3 2 3 12:11 11
5 Oriental U19 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
6 Casa Pia U19 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
7 Mafra U19 8 2 3 3 7:14 9
8 SC Farense U19 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
9 Leiria U19 8 1 3 4 8:16 6
10 Alverca U19 8 1 3 4 9:15 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)