Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Almeida S.
60'
60'
Anderson Oliveira
(Penalty)
77'
77'
Maio A.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Leiria U19 and Oriental U19 finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oriental U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leiria U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Oriental U19 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Oriental U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria U19 | Oriental U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 5 |
| Wins | 11 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 11 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Oriental U19
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiria U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Almeida S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pereira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Oriental U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiria U19 20 / 100
Oriental U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiria U19 Oriental U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oriental U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Leiria U19 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Solid form: Leiria U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Oriental U19 conceded in 40% of 5 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Leiria U19 VS Oriental U19
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
16 May
Leiria U19
6 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
02 May
Leiria U19
2 : 1 FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 4
Oriental U19
(Away) 12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0 Casa Pia U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1 Oriental U19
15 Aug
Oriental U19
0 : 0 Benfica U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1 Oriental U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2 Oriental U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1 Oriental U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1 Oriental U19
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Moreirense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 8 | Famalicao U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 9 | Academico Viseu U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Benfica U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Mafra U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 5 | Torreense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Clara U19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Casa Pia U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 9 | Leiria U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 10 | Alverca U19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
