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Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vieira S.
45' Event
Garrafa J.
82'
Ribeiro S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leiria U19
30%
Draws
39%
Sporting CP U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leiria U19 haven't matched Sporting CP U19's recent run of results.
  • Leiria U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Sporting CP U19
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieira S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sporting CP U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garrafa J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 34 / 100
Sporting CP U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Sporting CP U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U19's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sporting CP U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leiria U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Sporting CP U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
24 Oct
Leiria U19
0 : 3
Mafra U19
17 Oct
SC Farense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
10 Oct
Leiria U19
2 : 0
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
Page 1 of 6

Sporting CP U19

(Away)
25 Oct
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2
Santa Clara U19
21 Oct
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1
LASK Linz U19
17 Oct
Benfica U19
4 : 0
Sporting CP U19
13 Oct
Lens U19
3 : 2
Sporting CP U19
10 Oct
Sporting CP U19
1 : 1
Mafra U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 10 6 1 3 13:10 19
2 FC Porto U19 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
3 Gil Vicente U19 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
4 Rio Ave U19 9 4 2 3 8:7 14
5 Academico Viseu U19 9 4 1 4 16:11 13
6 Braga U19 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
7 Feirense U19 9 3 2 4 6:8 11
8 Famalicao U19 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
9 Moreirense U19 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
10 Vizela U19 9 2 2 5 9:19 8
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 9 5 3 1 20:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 8 5 2 1 12:8 17
3 Santa Clara U19 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
4 Torreense U19 9 4 2 3 14:12 14
5 Oriental U19 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 Casa Pia U19 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
7 Mafra U19 9 3 3 3 10:14 12
8 SC Farense U19 9 2 2 5 12:18 8
9 Leiria U19 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
10 Alverca U19 9 1 3 5 10:17 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)