Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Vieira S.
45'
45'
Garrafa J.
82'
82'
Ribeiro S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leiria U19 haven't matched Sporting CP U19's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria U19 | Sporting CP U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Sporting CP U19
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Leiria U19
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiria U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Vieira S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Sporting CP U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrafa J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiria U19 30 / 100
Sporting CP U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiria U19 Sporting CP U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiria U19's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sporting CP U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Leiria U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leiria U19 VS Sporting CP U19
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria U19
(Home) 05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0 Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
16 May
Leiria U19
6 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2 Santa Clara U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
16 May
Leiria U19
6 : 0 Gil Vicente U19
02 May
Leiria U19
2 : 1 FC Porto U19
25 Apr
Leiria U19
3 : 2 Rio Ave U19
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Sporting CP U19
(Away) 29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2 Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1 Oriental U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
08 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 0 Casa Pia U19
16 May
Sporting CP U19
1 : 3 FC Porto U19
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2 Sporting CP U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
10 May
Rio Ave U19
0 : 3 Sporting CP U19
25 Apr
Gil Vicente U19
1 : 4 Sporting CP U19
18 Apr
Famalicao U19
0 : 1 Sporting CP U19
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 2 | FC Porto U19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Braga U19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente U19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Rio Ave U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 8 | Famalicao U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Vizela U19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 10 | Moreirense U19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Sporting CP U19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Mafra U19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 5 | SC Farense U19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 6 | Casa Pia U19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Santa Clara U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Leiria U19 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 10 | Torreense U19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
