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Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Maia G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Leiria U23 and Gil Vicente U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gil Vicente U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leiria U23
20%
Draws
51%
Gil Vicente U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gil Vicente U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Leiria U23 haven't matched Gil Vicente U23's recent run of results.
  • Leiria U23 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gil Vicente U23 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Gil Vicente U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U23 Gil Vicente U23
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 7 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
0:1
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
2:3
Jan 10, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Gil Vicente U23 vs Leiria U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gil Vicente U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maia G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U23 41 / 100
Gil Vicente U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U23 Gil Vicente U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gil Vicente U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Leiria U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Leiria U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U23 VS Gil Vicente U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 7

Gil Vicente U23

(Away)
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
15 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
2 : 0
Portimonense U23
08 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
01 Sept
Gil Vicente U23
0 : 2
Rio Ave U23
24 Aug
Braga U23
1 : 0
Gil Vicente U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)