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Leiria U23 vs Santa Clara U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Antunes G.
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leiria U23
35%
Draws
45%
Santa Clara U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Clara U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Clara U23 have won more games recently than Leiria U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 14%
Santa Clara U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U23 Santa Clara U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Santa Clara U23
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Santa Clara U23
0:2
Sep 16, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Santa Clara U23 vs Leiria U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Santa Clara U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antunes G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U23 31 / 100
Santa Clara U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U23 Santa Clara U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Clara U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria U23 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Santa Clara U23 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leiria U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U23 VS Santa Clara U23
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 6

Santa Clara U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
29 Sept
Santa Clara U23
2 : 2
FC Felgueiras U23
22 Sept
Santa Clara U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1
Santa Clara U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)