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Leiria U23 vs Torreense U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria U23 host Torreense U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Leiria U23 have averaged 1.16 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Torreense U23's 1.45 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Leiria U23 have won 0 to Torreense U23's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.00) point toward Torreense U23. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leiria U23
30%
Draws
39%
Torreense U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Torreense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torreense U23 come out ahead of Leiria U23 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Torreense U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U23 Torreense U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Torreense U23 vs Leiria U23
2:0
Oct 20, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Torreense U23
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U23 31 / 100
Torreense U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U23 Torreense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torreense U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Leiria U23 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Leiria U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U23 VS Torreense U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 7

Torreense U23

(Away)
05 Oct
Torreense U23
2 : 3
Estoril U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
08 Sept
Rio Ave U23
2 : 3
Torreense U23
31 Aug
Torreense U23
1 : 1
Braga U23
18 Aug
Torreense U23
1 : 1
Portimonense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)