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Leiria vs Nelas Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Leiria Logo

Leiria

2 - 0
FT
Nelas Logo

Nelas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leiria in this Taça de Portugal 2007/2008 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Leiria
15%
Draws
27%
Nelas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Leiria have won more games recently than Nelas.
  • Leiria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Leiria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leiria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leiria Clean Sheet 20%
Nelas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria Nelas
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.67 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Leiria vs Nelas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 85 / 100
Nelas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria Nelas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Leiria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Nelas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

Nelas

(Away)
18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1
Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3
Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1
Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0
Nelas
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2