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Leiston vs Royston Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Iaciofano J.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Fowkes B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Leiston and Royston Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Leiston
15%
Draws
0%
Royston Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leiston come out ahead of Royston Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leiston's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Leiston Clean Sheet 20%
Royston Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiston Royston Town
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.81 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Royston Town
1:1
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
1:3
Jan 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Royston Town
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowkes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Royston Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiston 85 / 100
Royston Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiston Royston Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiston found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Royston Town has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Royston Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leiston VS Royston Town
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiston

(Home)
12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2
Leiston
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0
Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0
Leiston
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3
Leiston
29 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Redditch
Page 1 of 6

Royston Town

(Away)
05 Sept
Real Bedford
4 : 1
Royston Town
29 Aug
Hashtag
3 : 1
Royston Town
25 Apr
Stourbridge
1 : 0
Royston Town
18 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 3
Stamford
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0
Royston Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)