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Leiston vs Royston Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Iaciofano J.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Fowkes B.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Leiston and Royston Town finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leiston
6%
Draws
4%
Royston Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leiston come out ahead of Royston Town on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leiston's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Leiston Clean Sheet 20%
Royston Town Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiston Royston Town
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Royston Town
1:1
Oct 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
1:3
Jan 1, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
1:1
Aug 26, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Royston Town
2:0
Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Leiston
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowkes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Royston Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiston 85 / 100
Royston Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiston Royston Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiston found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Royston Town has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leiston stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiston VS Royston Town
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525