Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leixoes U23 vs Estoril U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
63' Event
Modibo K.
72' Event
Roka

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leixoes U23
35%
Draws
42%
Estoril U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estoril U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Leixoes U23 haven't matched Estoril U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Leixoes U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Estoril U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes U23 Estoril U23
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.58 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leixoes U23 vs Estoril U23
2:2
Aug 23, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Leixoes U23
1:3
Apr 19, 2022 Taca Revelacao U23
Leixoes U23 vs Estoril U23
2:2
Feb 28, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Leixoes U23
2:0
Jan 18, 2022 Liga Next Gen U23
Leixoes U23 vs Estoril U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leixoes U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Modibo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roka
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Estoril U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes U23 30 / 100
Estoril U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes U23 Estoril U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixoes U23's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Estoril U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Leixoes U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes U23 VS Estoril U23
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes U23

(Home)
19 Oct
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
13 Oct
Torreense U23
1 : 3
Leixoes U23
28 Sept
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Vizela U23
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 7

Estoril U23

(Away)
19 Oct
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
05 Oct
Torreense U23
2 : 3
Estoril U23
22 Sept
Academico Viseu U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 9 5 3 1 17:10 18
2 Academico Viseu U23 9 5 3 1 16:11 18
3 Estoril U23 9 4 5 0 19:14 17
4 Rio Ave U23 9 4 4 1 14:7 16
5 FC Felgueiras U23 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Famalicao U23 9 4 2 3 16:16 14
7 Vizela U23 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
8 Moreirense U23 9 2 6 1 18:10 12
9 SC Farense U23 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
10 Braga U23 9 2 5 2 13:13 11
11 Benfica U23 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
12 Leiria U23 9 3 2 4 9:11 11
13 Leixoes U23 9 2 4 3 17:15 10
14 Santa Clara U23 7 2 4 1 6:11 10
15 Penafiel U23 9 1 6 2 12:12 9
16 Torreense U23 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
17 Gil Vicente U23 9 2 2 5 10:14 8
18 Maritimo U23 9 1 3 5 8:14 6
19 Estrela da Amadora U23 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
20 Portimonense U23 9 0 4 5 5:15 4
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)