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Leixoes U23 vs Leiria U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
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Match Events

51' Event
66' Event
74' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Leixoes U23 and Leiria U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Leixoes U23
35%
Draws
37%
Leiria U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leiria U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leixoes U23's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Leiria U23 have produced (1.16).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes U23 taking it.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Leixoes U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes U23 Leiria U23
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Leixoes U23 vs Leiria U23
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes U23 42 / 100
Leiria U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes U23 Leiria U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixoes U23 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Leiria U23 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Leixoes U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes U23 VS Leiria U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes U23

(Home)
28 Sept
Leixoes U23
2 : 2
Vizela U23
19 Sept
Leixoes U23
1 : 2
Famalicao U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
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Leiria U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1
Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1
Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0
Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)