Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Oliveirense
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
13'
13'
Serif N.
Assist: Araujo C.
46'
46'
Sub
Joao A. In: Diallo A.
Out: Joao A.
52'
52'
Sub
Rochez B. In: Luccas Paraizo
Out: Rochez B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Leixoes and Oliveirense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leixoes come out ahead of Oliveirense on wins alone.
- Leixoes are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 13%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Oliveirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Oliveirense
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Leixoes
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Oliveirense
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Leixoes
0:1
May 19, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs Leixoes
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Serif N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Luccas Paraizo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Oliveirense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 57 / 100
Oliveirense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Oliveirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leixoes found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Oliveirense let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Leixoes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS Oliveirense
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Oliveirense
(Away) 19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2 Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1 Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0 Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1 Oliveirense
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1 Oliveirense
09 May
Feirense
1 : 2 Oliveirense
27 Apr
Chaves
2 : 1 Oliveirense
12 Apr
Leixoes
2 : 0 Oliveirense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
