Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Vilafranquense Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
7'
7'
Ceitil A.
28'
28'
Adriano L. A. S.
33'
33'
Zagbayou H.
AI Match Summary
Leixoes in this Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Leixoes lately — more wins on the board than Vilafranquense.
- Leixoes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Vilafranquense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Vilafranquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Vilafranquense
2:0
Jan 14, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Leixoes
2:0
Mar 14, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Vilafranquense
1:1
Oct 22, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Leixoes
1:3
Apr 16, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Vilafranquense vs Leixoes
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Goncalves do Prado B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morais T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Vilafranquense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 95 / 100
Vilafranquense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Vilafranquense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leixoes found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Vilafranquense let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Leixoes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Vilafranquense
(Away) 28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1 BSAD
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
14 May
Vilafranquense
0 : 0 Covilha
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
29 Apr
Vilafranquense
2 : 0 Torreense
Page 1 of 6
19 May
Leixoes
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
06 May
Mafra
2 : 1 Vilafranquense
23 Apr
Tondela
1 : 0 Vilafranquense
08 Apr
Academico Viseu
2 : 0 Vilafranquense
19 Mar
Penafiel
1 : 1 Vilafranquense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moreirense | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 77:38 | 79 |
| 2 | SC Farense | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 57:34 | 69 |
| 3 | Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 55:35 | 63 |
| 4 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 51:45 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 48:40 | 51 |
| 6 | Mafra | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 7 | Vilafranquense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 42:36 | 46 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Torreense | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 38:41 | 44 |
| 10 | Oliveirense | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 51:50 | 43 |
| 11 | Tondela | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 35:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 36:47 | 39 |
| 13 | Nacional | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Benfica B | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 52:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Leixoes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:49 | 38 |
| 16 | BSAD | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | 35 |
| 17 | Trofense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 31:51 | 32 |
| 18 | Covilha | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:57 | 28 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)
