Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Vitoria Setubal Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2023/2024 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
26'
26'
Soares R.
45'
45'
Sub
Flavinho In: Carvalho D.
Out: Flavinho
47'
47'
Zequinha
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Vitoria Setubal advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leixoes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Leixoes a 47% chance of winning this.
- Leixoes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Vitoria Setubal, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Vitoria Setubal have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 18%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Vitoria Setubal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 21, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Leixoes vs Vitoria Setubal
1:2
Sep 19, 2012 League Cup
Vitoria Setubal vs Leixoes
1:1
Sep 8, 2012 League Cup
Leixoes vs Vitoria Setubal
0:1
Mar 14, 2010 Liga Portugal
Leixoes vs Vitoria Setubal
1:2
Oct 25, 2009 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Leixoes
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Soares R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Vitoria Setubal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 85 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Vitoria Setubal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leixoes scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Leixoes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Vitoria Setubal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS Vitoria Setubal
2.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Vitoria Setubal
(Away) 20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2 Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1 Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3 Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2 Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2 Vitoria Setubal
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1 Vitoria Setubal
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2 Vitoria Setubal
01 Jun
SC Lusitania
2 : 1 Vitoria Setubal
19 May
Santarem
0 : 0 Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Moncarapachense -
TBD -
CU Micaelense 1
GD Alcochetense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte -
TBD -
TBD -
Vilaverdense FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 4
Torre De Moncorvo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
SC Salgueiros 2
FC Foz 0
TBD -
Santa Maria FC -
Sao Joao de Ver -
TBD -
TBD -
Leixoes -
Anadia 2
Sanjoanense 3
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Tomar -
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro 2
Caldas SC 1
Padernense 1
Serpa 2
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
Atletico SC 0
CDR Quarteirense 2
TBD -
CF Os Belenenses -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Uniao Lamas 2
Paredes 3
Florgrade 3
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense -
TBD -
TBD -
Amarante FC -
Academica 3
Uniao de Coimbra 0
Fornos de Algodres 0
Oliveira Hospital 5
O Elvas CAD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lanheses -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
TBD -
Tirsense -
SC Vila Real 0
Ribeirao 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Vitoria Sernache -
TBD -
Aliados Lordelo 1
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 1
Gondomar 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Barreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Mirandela -
CD Rabo Peixe -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira do Douro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 3
Portel 0
Sintrense 2
Operario 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
Brito -
TBD -
TBD -
Feirense -
Vilar de Perdizes -
TBD -
TBD -
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
Marinhense 1
Mondinense 0
CDC Montalegre 2
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
Pevidem -
Canelas 2010 -
TBD -
FC Flamengos 0
GD Fontinhas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Guadalupe 0
Fabril do Barreiro 1
TBD -
Maritimo -
Mortagua FC -
TBD -
Amora 8
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Lusitania FC 10
Regua 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Pedrogao Sao Pedro -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
Atletico Arcos -
TBD -
TBD -
Malveira -
Alqueidao 3
CD Torres Novas 2
TBD -
AD Marco 09 -
Rebordelo 1
Os Sandinenses 3
Real SC 1
Olivais e Moscavide 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense -
TBD -
Santarem 6
Proenca-A-Nova 0
Louletano 1
Imortal 0
TBD -
AFS -
Oriental -
TBD -
TBD -
Torreense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Vilanovense 0
SC Pombal 2
TBD -
Tondela -
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
TBD -
Pacos Ferreira -
Atletico CP -
TBD -
Alverca 13
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 1
Penedo Gordo 0
TBD -
Vila Mea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
AD Fafe 1
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Limianos 3
Varzim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Amiense 0
SB Castelo Branco 7
TBD -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
Os Marialvas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense -
TBD -
TBD -
Camacha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 2
Industria 0
TBD -
Covilha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Lusitano FCV 0
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 2
Lobao 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
1/64-finals
Moncarapachense 6
CU Micaelense 2
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Ponte 0
Vilaverdense FC 5
TBD -
SC Farense -
Valadares Gaia FC 1
Penafiel 2
SC Salgueiros 0
Santa Maria FC 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Leixoes 1
Sanjoanense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Tomar 1
Pero Pinheiro 2
Serpa 2
CD Gouveia 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
CF Os Belenenses 1
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Paredes 5
Florgrade 1
TBD -
Moreirense -
Sertanense 0
Amarante FC 2
Academica 3
Oliveira Hospital 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Lanheses 0
ACDR Lamelas 1
Tirsense 3
Ribeirao 0
Santa Clara 3
Vitoria Sernache 0
SC Vianense 3
CD Portosantense 2
Nacional 4
FC Barreirense 0
SC Mirandela 3
CD Rabo Peixe 3
Oliveira do Douro 2
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Juv. Evora 1
Sintrense 2
TBD -
Estoril -
Gafetense 0
Mafra 5
Brito 0
Feirense 2
Vilar de Perdizes 5
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 1
TBD -
FC Porto -
GD Peniche 2
CDC Montalegre 3
Trofense 0
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 5
GD Fontinhas 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Fabril do Barreiro 1
Maritimo 3
Mortagua FC 2
Amora 1
Lusitania FC 1
Academico Viseu 2
Pedrogao Sao Pedro 0
Leiria 12
Atletico Arcos 2
Malveira 3
Alqueidao 1
AD Marco 09 3
Os Sandinenses 1
Olivais e Moscavide 3
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Dumiense 4
Santarem 3
Louletano 0
AFS 1
Oriental 0
Torreense 1
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Pombal 0
Tondela 5
1º Dezembro 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Atletico CP 1
Alverca 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Castrense 0
Vila Mea 3
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
FC Felgueiras 4
AD Limianos 0
TBD -
Arouca -
SB Castelo Branco 1
Oliveirense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
SC Lusitania 1
Os Marialvas 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Luzense 0
Camacha 3
TBD -
Famalicao -
Lusitano GC 0
Covilha 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Tocha 2
Rebordosa 4
TBD -
Braga -
1/32-finals
Moncarapachense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vilaverdense FC 3
SC Farense 2
Penafiel 3
Santa Maria FC 0
Leixoes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Pero Pinheiro 0
Serpa 1
CF Os Belenenses 1
Gil Vicente 2
Paredes 2
Moreirense 1
Amarante FC 1
Academica 0
O Elvas CAD 2
Tirsense 1
Santa Clara 2
SC Vianense 0
Nacional 6
SC Mirandela 1
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Casa Pia 2
Sintrense 0
Estoril 5
Mafra 3
Feirense 1
Vilar de Perdizes 0
FC Porto 2
CDC Montalegre 2
Pevidem 1
Canelas 2010 1
Chaves 0
Maritimo 4
Mortagua FC 1
Academico Viseu 1
Leiria 3
Malveira 2
AD Marco 09 1
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Sporting CP 3
Dumiense 1
AFS 0
Torreense 2
Rio Ave 1
Tondela 2
1º Dezembro 1
Atletico CP 0
Vizela 1
Vila Mea 0
Estrela da Amadora 1
FC Felgueiras 1
Arouca 3
Oliveirense 1
Boavista 3
SC Lusitania 1
Benfica 4
Camacha 0
Famalicao 5
Covilha 1
Portimonense 4
Rebordosa 0
Braga 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Vilaverdense FC 1
Penafiel 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Serpa 0
Gil Vicente 1
Paredes 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Casa Pia 0
Estoril 2
Mafra 1
FC Porto 4
CDC Montalegre 0
Canelas 2010 1
Maritimo 3
Leiria 5
Malveira 0
Sporting CP 8
Dumiense 0
Torreense 1
Tondela 2
Vizela 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
Arouca 3
Boavista 2
Benfica 2
Famalicao 0
Portimonense 1
Braga 4
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Penafiel 0
Gil Vicente 3
Amarante FC 1
Santa Clara 2
Nacional 1
Estoril 0
FC Porto 4
Maritimo 0
Leiria 3
Sporting CP 4
Tondela 0
Vizela 1
Arouca 0
Benfica 3
Braga 2
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Gil Vicente 1
Santa Clara 1
FC Porto 2
Leiria 0
Sporting CP 3
Vizela 1
Benfica 2
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
FC Porto 4
Sporting CP 4
Benfica 3
Final
FC Porto 2
Sporting CP 1
