Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lemense U20 vs Comercial U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 2023 game between Lemense U20 and Comercial U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lemense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lemense U20
15%
Draws
49%
Comercial U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comercial U20 come out ahead of Lemense U20 on wins alone.
  • Comercial U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lemense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemense U20 Comercial U20
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2023 Paulista U20
Lemense U20 vs Comercial U20
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista U20
Comercial U20 vs Lemense U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemense U20 10 / 100
Comercial U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemense U20 Comercial U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Comercial U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lemense U20 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (23 games).

Scoring Trends

Lemense U20 VS Comercial U20
0 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemense U20

(Home)
08 Jan
Lemense U20
0 : 3
Ceara U20
05 Jan
Lemense U20
0 : 1
Rondoniense SC U20
02 Jan
Lemense U20
0 : 2
Gama U20
25 Aug
Lemense U20
1 : 0
Comercial U20
22 Aug
Bragantino U20
6 : 1
Lemense U20
Page 1 of 5

Comercial U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mirassol U20 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo U20 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
3 Vocem U20 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
4 Mogi Mirim U20 6 0 0 6 1:17 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa U20 6 4 0 2 10:9 12
2 Osasco Sporting U20 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
3 Jose Bonifacio EC U20 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
4 Rio Preto EC U20 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 6 4 2 0 7:2 14
2 Portuguesa U20 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Rio Claro U20 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Taubate U20 6 0 1 5 2:8 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 6 5 1 0 9:2 16
2 Ibrachina U20 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
3 Tanabi U20 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Juventus-SP U20 6 0 3 3 3:9 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 6 5 1 0 19:5 16
2 Bragantino U20 6 4 0 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial U20 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
4 Lemense U20 6 1 0 5 3:18 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 6 4 1 1 16:7 13
2 Novorizontino U20 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
3 Guarani U20 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
4 Ituano U20 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Internacional de Limeira U20 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 Corinthians U20 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Ponte Preta U20 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sao Caetano U20 6 1 0 5 2:10 3
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 6 6 0 0 35:3 18
2 Desportivo U20 6 3 1 2 31:13 10
3 Capivariano U20 6 2 1 3 22:13 7
4 Aracatuba FC U20 6 0 0 6 2:61 0
Promotion - Paulista U20 2023 (Third stage)