Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 game between Lenense and Real Aviles B finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lenense come out ahead of Real Aviles B on wins alone.
- Model gives Lenense a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lenense Clean Sheet 16%
Real Aviles B Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lenense | Real Aviles B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles B vs Lenense
0:2
Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Real Aviles B
1:1
Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Real Aviles B
1:1
Sep 29, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles B vs Lenense
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lenense 66 / 100
Real Aviles B 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lenense Real Aviles B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lenense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Aviles B let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Lenense found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Lenense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lenense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lenense
(Home) 10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3 Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0 Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
28 Mar
Lenense
2 : 0 Club Siero
15 Mar
Lenense
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 4
Real Aviles B
(Away) 17 May
Real Aviles B
1 : 3 Basico Urraca
10 May
Condal
2 : 1 Real Aviles B
03 May
Real Aviles B
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
26 Apr
Caudal Deportivo
3 : 0 Real Aviles B
19 Apr
Real Aviles B
1 : 1 L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Condal
2 : 1 Real Aviles B
26 Apr
Caudal Deportivo
3 : 0 Real Aviles B
12 Apr
Tuilla
3 : 1 Real Aviles B
29 Mar
Universidad Oviedo
1 : 1 Real Aviles B
15 Mar
Llanes
3 : 2 Real Aviles B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Condal | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 67:20 | 86 |
| 2 | Caudal Deportivo | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 68:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Real Oviedo B | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 82:34 | 78 |
| 4 | Tuilla | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 67:31 | 74 |
| 5 | Covadonga | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 63:39 | 70 |
| 6 | Llanes | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 61:51 | 64 |
| 7 | Union Club Ceares | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 51:41 | 63 |
| 8 | Praviano | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Basico Urraca | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 50:47 | 50 |
| 10 | Atletico de Lugones | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45:49 | 49 |
| 11 | CD Mosconia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Real Aviles B | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 46:53 | 46 |
| 13 | Astur | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 39:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 42:50 | 46 |
| 15 | CD Roces | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 37:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Andes CF | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 44:60 | 43 |
| 17 | L Entregu CF | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 34:54 | 38 |
| 18 | Lenense | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 38:72 | 29 |
| 19 | Universidad Oviedo | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 30:78 | 21 |
| 20 | Cudillero | 38 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 10:75 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
