Sport Picks
Lenense vs Union Club Ceares
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Feito A.
12'
12'
David J.
14'
14'
Carreeno Prieto V.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Lenense and Union Club Ceares finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lenense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lenense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lenense haven't matched Union Club Ceares's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lenense a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Union Club Ceares have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lenense Clean Sheet 14%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lenense | Union Club Ceares |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Union Club Ceares
4:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Lenense
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Union Club Ceares
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Lenense
3:0
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs Union Club Ceares
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lenense Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Carreeno Prieto V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Union Club Ceares Compare
Top Goalscorer Feito A.
1 Goals Assists Leader David J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lenense 35 / 100
Union Club Ceares 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lenense Union Club Ceares
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lenense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Defensive concern: Union Club Ceares conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Lenense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lenense VS Union Club Ceares
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lenense
(Home) 10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3 Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0 Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1 Gijon B
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3 CD Colunga
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
28 Mar
Lenense
2 : 0 Club Siero
15 Mar
Lenense
2 : 2 Gijon Industrial
Page 1 of 4
Union Club Ceares
(Away) 26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4 CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1 Langreo
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0 Union Club Ceares
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2 Union Club Ceares
26 Apr
Gijon Industrial
2 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2 Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanera | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 71:18 | 91 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 88:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 79:29 | 67 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:39 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 46:29 | 55 |
| 6 | EI San Martin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 51 |
| 7 | L Entregu CF | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | 45 |
| 9 | Praviano | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 10 | Club Siero | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:49 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Llanes | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 44:51 | 37 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21:40 | 33 |
| 14 | Gijon Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:57 | 32 |
| 15 | Lenense | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36:58 | 32 |
| 16 | Navarro | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 38:53 | 31 |
| 17 | Tuilla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 31:60 | 27 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 22:74 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
