Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lens vs Nice

France France

Coupe de France Stade de France, Paris - Saint-Denis
Lens Logo

Lens

3 - 1
FT
Nice Logo

Nice

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Thauvin F.
Assist: Udol M.
36'
Abdulhamid S.
42' Event
Edouard O.
Assist: Thauvin F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Lens advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lens
30%
Draws
34%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lens's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Lens have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lens Clean Sheet 19%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens Nice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Coupe de France
Lens vs Nice
3:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lens
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Nice
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Nice vs Lens
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Nice
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Thauvin F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edouard O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nice Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 36 / 100
Nice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Nice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lens has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS Nice
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
28 Jul
Lens
0 : 1
Famalicao
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
25 Jul
Marseille
0 : 3
Nice
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Saint-Brice Courcelles1
FC Bogny2
Camon0
St. Maur Lusitanos7
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lille-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Saint-Cyr Collonges1
Thonon-Evian0
FC Rhone Vallees2
RC Grasse1
Seyssinet1
Aubagne FC0
SS Allinges1
Istres2
SA Merignac1
Colomiers0
Trelissac0
Pau2
Stade Quimperlois0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier9
St. Colomban Locmine1
Guingamp2
Le Cellier Mauves0
Laval6
Saint-Pauloise FC1
Dominicaine0
Espoir1
Eveil0
Challans0
Pontivy2
Sable0
Saint-Malo1
US Chateau-Malo0
Bastia6
Olympique Marcquois5
Aire-sur-la-Lys0
Longuenesse0
FC Bondues2
Touraine2
Epernay1
Aizenay0
Troyes3
Villars-l'Isle1
Sarre Union2
Pontarlier2
Sochaux3
Steenvoorde2
Chambly1
Loon Plage1
Bethune2
Lens-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
APM Metz3
Fleury-Merogis2
Cambrai0
Feignies-Aulnoye4
Yvetot2
ASPTT Caen1
Bayeux3
Caen2
Le Poinconnet0
Romorantin2
Blois Foot 412
Clermont1
Marseille-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mauguio Carnon0
Selongey1
Atlas Paillade0
Bourg Peronnas2
Cormontreuil5
Porto Portugais2
Us Premontre Saint Gobain0
Chantilly3
Wittenheim2
Freyming3
Besancon RC4
Thionville0
Pen Hir1
Les Sables2
Plouvorn2
Vitre1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rennes-
Pledran0
Plabennec2
Orvault1
Les Herbiers3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Angers-
Pierrelatte0
Lyon - La Duchere2
Carnoux F.C.5
Pirae1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Toulouse-
Montreuil1
Bandrele0
Granville3
Dinan1
Gouzon Avenir1
Chauvigny5
Lapalisse1
Stade Poitevin2
Le Havre-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reims Ste Anne2
GFC Ajaccio1
Auby0
Amiens SC3
Brest-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Avranches1
Paris 13 Atletico0
SA Beaumont4
Aubervilliers7
Strasbourg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ES Cappelle2
Abbeville3
Boulogne2
Dunkerque3
Saint-Jean1
Angouleme CFC0
Orleans3
Bayonne0
JA Drancy0
Beauvais1
Saint-Amand0
Dieppe3
Auxerre-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Monaco-
Montreal-la-Cluse0
FC Chalon3
ASPTT Dijon0
Le Puy-en-Velay1
FC 2 Rives 820
Mazeres1
EBBE0
Bordeaux1
IC Croix3
Racing Club de France2
Etoile Matoury1
Le Geldar2
Avion0
Torcy2
OCPAM0
Reims1
Etoile Bobigny1
Villeneuve-la-Garenne2
Ivry1
Le Mans2
Saint-Meziery1
Perigny2
UES Montmorillon0
Beaucouze1
Cannes1
Annecy2
Olympique de Villefontaine0
Grenoble3
Sarreguemines5
Furiani Agliani3
GSA Tomblaine0
Nancy5
Seignosse Capbreton2
Football Club Marmande 473
Bassin d'Arcachon4
Blagnac1
Andrezieux1
Hauts Lyonnais2
Savigneux Montbrison3
Feurs5
Lorient-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Moulien2
AS Le Gosier3
CMS Oissel3
Quevilly2
PSG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fontenay1
Chamalieres0
Biars-Bretenoux0
Chateauroux2
Paris FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mutzig0
Raon L Etape3
Magenta0
Mulhouse3
Les Bleuets0
Concarneau3
St. Renan0
Stade Briochin4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nantes-
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nord Lozere4
Ecotay Moingt5
Quetigny1
St Etienne3
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen2
Biesheim3
Forbach0
Red Star2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Metz-
Auch1
Canet Roussillon4
Lavaur1
Rodez3
Montceau2
L'Etrat La Tour1
Agde0
Montpellier2
1/64-finals
FC Bogny0
St. Maur Lusitanos3
TBD-
Lille-
Lyon-
TBD-
Saint-Cyr Collonges1
FC Rhone Vallees0
Seyssinet0
Istres2
SA Merignac1
Pau0
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier0
Guingamp4
Laval6
Saint-Pauloise FC0
Espoir0
Pontivy4
Saint-Malo0
Bastia1
Olympique Marcquois2
FC Bondues0
Touraine0
Troyes2
Sarre Union0
Sochaux6
Steenvoorde0
Bethune1
Lens-
TBD-
APM Metz0
Feignies-Aulnoye2
Yvetot0
Bayeux1
Romorantin2
Blois Foot 413
Marseille-
TBD-
Selongey2
Bourg Peronnas3
Cormontreuil1
Chantilly2
Freyming1
Besancon RC0
Les Sables2
Plouvorn1
TBD-
Rennes-
Plabennec1
Les Herbiers2
TBD-
Angers-
Lyon - La Duchere3
Carnoux F.C.1
TBD-
Toulouse-
Montreuil2
Granville1
Chauvigny4
Stade Poitevin3
Le Havre-
TBD-
Reims Ste Anne0
Amiens SC4
Brest-
TBD-
Avranches2
Aubervilliers1
Strasbourg-
TBD-
Abbeville0
Dunkerque5
Saint-Jean1
Orleans2
Beauvais1
Dieppe2
Auxerre-
TBD-
TBD-
Monaco-
FC Chalon0
Le Puy-en-Velay1
Mazeres3
Bordeaux4
IC Croix2
Le Geldar1
Torcy1
Reims5
Villeneuve-la-Garenne2
Le Mans3
Perigny3
Beaucouze1
Annecy1
Grenoble2
Sarreguemines3
Nancy4
Football Club Marmande 470
Bassin d'Arcachon1
Hauts Lyonnais2
Feurs1
Lorient-
TBD-
AS Le Gosier3
CMS Oissel2
PSG-
TBD-
Fontenay4
Chateauroux1
Paris FC-
TBD-
Raon L Etape3
Mulhouse2
Concarneau1
Stade Briochin0
TBD-
Nantes-
Nice-
TBD-
Ecotay Moingt1
St Etienne11
Biesheim2
Red Star1
TBD-
Metz-
Canet Roussillon1
Rodez0
Montceau0
Montpellier2
1/32-finals
St. Maur Lusitanos0
Lille1
Lyon3
Saint-Cyr Collonges0
Istres1
SA Merignac0
Guingamp0
Laval1
Pontivy0
Bastia1
Olympique Marcquois1
Troyes3
Sochaux4
Bethune2
Lens3
Feignies-Aulnoye1
Bayeux2
Blois Foot 411
Marseille6
Bourg Peronnas0
Chantilly3
Freyming0
Les Sables0
Rennes3
Les Herbiers0
Angers1
Lyon - La Duchere1
Toulouse2
Montreuil2
Chauvigny1
Le Havre0
Amiens SC2
Brest1
Avranches2
Strasbourg2
Dunkerque1
Orleans3
Dieppe0
Auxerre1
Monaco2
Le Puy-en-Velay1
Bordeaux0
IC Croix0
Reims4
Le Mans2
Perigny1
Grenoble1
Nancy2
Bassin d'Arcachon0
Hauts Lyonnais1
Lorient7
AS Le Gosier0
PSG4
Fontenay0
Paris FC3
Raon L Etape0
Concarneau3
Nantes5
Nice2
St Etienne1
Biesheim0
Metz3
Canet Roussillon0
Montpellier1
1/16-finals
Lille1
Lyon2
Istres0
Laval2
Bastia0
Troyes2
Sochaux0
Lens3
Bayeux0
Marseille9
Chantilly1
Rennes3
Angers1
Toulouse2
Montreuil2
Amiens SC4
Avranches0
Strasbourg6
Orleans1
Monaco3
Le Puy-en-Velay0
Reims1
Le Mans1
Nancy0
Hauts Lyonnais1
Lorient3
PSG0
Paris FC1
Nantes1
Nice2
Metz0
Montpellier4
1/8-finals
Lyon2
Laval0
Troyes2
Lens4
Marseille3
Rennes0
Toulouse1
Amiens SC0
Strasbourg3
Monaco1
Reims3
Le Mans0
Lorient2
Paris FC0
Nice3
Montpellier2
Quarter-finals
Lyon2
Lens3
Marseille2
Toulouse3
Strasbourg2
Reims1
Lorient0
Nice1
Semi-finals
Lens4
Toulouse1
Strasbourg0
Nice2
Final
Lens3
Nice1