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Lens vs PSG - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Super Cup Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
1 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Thauvin F.
Assist: Udol M.
39'
Antonio K.
43'
Toppmoller D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lens
20%
Draws
47%
PSG
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PSG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • PSG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • PSG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor PSG, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSG have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lens Clean Sheet 14%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens PSG
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.18 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super Cup
Lens vs PSG
1:0
May 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Lens vs PSG
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Lens
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs PSG
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Coupe de France
Lens vs PSG
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Thauvin F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

PSG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens 31 / 100
PSG 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens PSG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lens scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: PSG conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lens remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lens VS PSG
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens

(Home)
02 Oct
St. Liege
0 : 2
Lens
18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1
Lens
13 Sept
Le Mans
2 : 2
Lens
10 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 3
Lens
05 Sept
Lens
0 : 1
Lorient
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PSG

(Away)
20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2
PSG
13 Sept
Brest
0 : 1
PSG
09 Sept
PSG
6 : 1
Slovan Bratislava
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2
Monaco
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
PSG 0
Lens 1