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Lens W vs Metz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women Degouve-Brabant Stadium, Arras
Lens W Logo

Lens W

3 - 0
FT
Metz W Logo

Metz W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Lens W
20%
Draws
70%
Metz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Metz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lens W have won more games recently than Metz W.
  • Metz W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Lens W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lens W Clean Sheet 20%
Metz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lens W Metz W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lens W vs Metz W
3:0
Aug 13, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Lens W vs Metz W
5:1
Apr 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Metz W
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Metz W vs Lens W
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Metz W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lens W 20 / 100
Metz W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lens W Metz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Metz W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Lens W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lens W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lens W VS Metz W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lens W

(Home)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
Page 1 of 6

Metz W

(Away)
04 Oct
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Mans W
26 Sept
Metz W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
13 Sept
Metz W
1 : 1
Roubaix W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Lens W 3 2 0 1 5:1 7
3 St Etienne W 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Strasbourg W 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
5 Saint-Malo W 2 2 0 0 4:1 5
6 Auxerre W 2 2 0 0 4:2 5
7 Thonon Evian W 3 2 0 1 6:10 5
8 Nantes W 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Le Mans W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
10 Fleury 91 W 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
11 Roubaix W 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
12 Montpellier W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Le Havre W 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
14 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Nice W 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
16 Lille W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
17 Cannes W 2 0 0 2 4:7 1
18 Bourges 18 W 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
19 Toulouse W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
20 Metz W 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women (Play Offs)