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Lentigione vs Adrense

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lentigione
20%
Draws
40%
Adrense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lentigione have won more games recently than Adrense.
  • Win probability leans Lentigione's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 20%
Adrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Adrense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Adrense
1:1
Sep 16, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Adrense vs Lentigione
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 36 / 100
Adrense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Adrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adrense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Lentigione has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

Adrense

(Away)
05 May
Adrense
4 : 2
Reggiana
28 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2
Adrense
18 Apr
Modena
1 : 0
Adrense
14 Apr
Adrense
2 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
07 Apr
Sasso Marconi
0 : 0
Adrense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)