Sport Picks
Lentigione vs Desenzano Calvina
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Lentigione and Desenzano Calvina finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lentigione come out ahead of Desenzano Calvina on wins alone.
- Lentigione are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lentigione | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Desenzano Calvina
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Lentigione
0:1
Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Desenzano Calvina
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Lentigione
1:2
May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Desenzano Calvina vs Lentigione
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lentigione 59 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lentigione Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lentigione Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lentigione's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Lentigione has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Desenzano Calvina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Lentigione VS Desenzano Calvina
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
43% Over 1.5 25%
29% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lentigione
(Home) 27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
23 Aug
Pro Vercelli
1 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
