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Lentigione vs Piacenza

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Mustacchio M.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Manuzzi F.

AI Match Summary

Piacenza in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lentigione
15%
Draws
45%
Piacenza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Piacenza average 1.84 goals a game right now, well clear of Lentigione's 1.69.
  • Win probability leans Piacenza's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Piacenza, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 12%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Piacenza
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Lentigione
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Piacenza
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Lentigione
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Piacenza Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuzzi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 27 / 100
Piacenza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Piacenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piacenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Piacenza has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lentigione stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Piacenza
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2
Piacenza
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Piacenza

(Away)
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1
Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lentigione 3
Pro Palazzolo 2
Pistoiese 1
Piacenza 3
Final
Lentigione 0
Piacenza 2