Sport Picks
Lentigione vs San Donnino Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 
Match Events
21'
21'
Bertipagani T.
50'
50'
Ferretti A.
58'
58'
Formato A.
AI Match Summary
San Donnino in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donnino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than San Donnino.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Lentigione taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lentigione here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 20%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lentigione | San Donnino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 5 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs San Donnino
2:3
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Lentigione
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs San Donnino
3:1
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Lentigione
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lentigione Compare
Top Goalscorer Formato A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sala F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
San Donnino Compare
Top Goalscorer Bertipagani T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ferretti A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lentigione 40 / 100
San Donnino 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lentigione San Donnino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lentigione Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lentigione scored in 90% of their last 30 games.
San Donnino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Lentigione stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lentigione VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lentigione
(Home) 27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0 Castellanzese
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Lentigione
3 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 3
San Donnino
(Away) 05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2 San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2 Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2 San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1 Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3 San Donnino
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2 San Donnino
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2 San Donnino
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3 San Donnino
24 Mar
Fanfulla
2 : 0 San Donnino
10 Mar
Prato
2 : 0 San Donnino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carpi | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 66:31 | 68 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 56:13 | 66 |
| 3 | Corticella | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 59:40 | 57 |
| 4 | Victor San Marino | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Lentigione | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 49:31 | 56 |
| 6 | Forli FC | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:35 | 55 |
| 7 | Prato | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 37:41 | 44 |
| 8 | Sangiuliano City | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 32:37 | 44 |
| 9 | Fanfulla | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | 43 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:44 | 41 |
| 11 | Aglianese Calcio | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Imolese | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 31:33 | 40 |
| 13 | Sammaurese | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 37:48 | 37 |
| 14 | SCD Progresso | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 27:43 | 37 |
| 15 | San Donnino | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 32:58 | 25 |
| 16 | Certaldo | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 22:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Mezzolara | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 23:50 | 21 |
| 18 | Pistoiese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
