Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lentigione vs Trevigliese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Alessandrini S.
43' Event
Nanni L.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Battistello A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Lentigione and Trevigliese finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lentigione
30%
Draws
12%
Trevigliese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lentigione carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lentigione a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 68%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lentigione Trevigliese
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 1.71 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Lentigione
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Trevigliese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Alessandrini S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Battistello A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lentigione 95 / 100
Trevigliese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lentigione Trevigliese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lentigione Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lentigione's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Trevigliese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Lentigione went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lentigione VS Trevigliese
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Lentigione

(Home)
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3
Lentigione
Page 1 of 6

Trevigliese

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)