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Leoben vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Austria Austria

Steiermark 2025/2026 Donawitz Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TUS Bad Waltersdorf in this Steiermark 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored TUS Bad Waltersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Leoben
6%
Draws
90%
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TUS Bad Waltersdorf have won more games recently than Leoben.
  • Model gives TUS Bad Waltersdorf a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Leoben Clean Sheet 10%
TUS Bad Waltersdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leoben TUS Bad Waltersdorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Steiermark
Leoben vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf
2:6
Oct 31, 2025 Steiermark
TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs Leoben
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leoben 10 / 100
TUS Bad Waltersdorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leoben TUS Bad Waltersdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TUS Bad Waltersdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Leoben found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

TUS Bad Waltersdorf lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leoben VS TUS Bad Waltersdorf
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%