Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Correcaminos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Match Events
13'
13'
Aguayo J.
Assist: De Jesus Bravo Santiago A.
17'
17'
Cantu J.
Assist: Torres D.
19'
19'
Guzman W.
Assist: Mina D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Leones Negros and Correcaminos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Correcaminos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leones Negros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leones Negros come out ahead of Correcaminos on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Leones Negros taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 18%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Correcaminos
1:3
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Correcaminos
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Leones Negros
1:2
Feb 14, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Leones Negros
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Correcaminos
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Negros Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguayo J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Correcaminos Compare
Top Goalscorer Cantu J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guzman W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones Negros 58 / 100
Correcaminos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones Negros Correcaminos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones Negros Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones Negros's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Correcaminos let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Leones Negros remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leones Negros VS Correcaminos
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones Negros
(Home) 10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
30 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 1 Piratas
16 Aug
Leones Negros
4 : 0 Jaiba Brava
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
Correcaminos
(Away) 09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1 Correcaminos
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
21 Aug
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 3 Correcaminos
07 Aug
Leones Negros
1 : 3 Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
