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Stadium Background

Leones vs Atletico F.C. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Moreno J.
3' Event
Onate A.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Onate A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Leones and Atletico F.C. finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leones
30%
Draws
47%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico F.C.'s 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Leones have produced (0.71).
  • Win probability leans Leones's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Leones Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.71 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Atletico F.C.
0:3
Mar 3, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Leones
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Atletico F.C.
1:0
May 10, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Leones
0:0
Jul 26, 2024 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Leones
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Onate A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 59 / 100
Atletico F.C. 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Leones's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Atletico F.C. lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Atletico F.C.
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Atletico F.C.

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)