Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Renteria J.
22' Event
Dawson D.
26'
Ramirez N.

AI Match Summary

Envigado in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Leones
30%
Draws
23%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Leones.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Leones Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Envigado
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Envigado
0:3
Apr 24, 2019 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Leones
1:1
Mar 13, 2019 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Envigado
0:0
Aug 25, 2018 Primera A
Leones vs Envigado
1:1
Mar 3, 2018 Primera A
Envigado vs Leones
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Dawson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cuervo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 41 / 100
Envigado 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leones remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Envigado has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Envigado
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6
Cartagena
20 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1
Leones
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Quindio
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
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Envigado

(Away)
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
03 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Envigado
30 Jul
Envigado
0 : 3
Once Caldas
27 Jul
Envigado
1 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)