Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones vs Orsomarso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leones host Orsomarso in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Orsomarso have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Leones have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Leones slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.94) point toward Leones. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leones
35%
Draws
32%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leones lately — more wins on the board than Orsomarso.
  • Leones are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Leones Clean Sheet 20%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Orsomarso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.79 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Orsomarso
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Orsomarso
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Leones
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 42 / 100
Orsomarso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Orsomarso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Orsomarso conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Leones remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Orsomarso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0
Patriotas
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2
Leones
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

Orsomarso

(Away)
15 Oct
Inter Palmira
1 : 1
Orsomarso
12 Oct
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Boca Juniors de Cali
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 13 7 4 2 17:8 25
2 Real Cundinamarca 13 7 3 3 19:11 24
3 Tigres Futbol Club 13 6 5 2 16:7 23
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
5 Patriotas 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
6 Atletico F.C. 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
7 Cartagena 13 4 5 4 22:17 17
8 Quindio 13 4 5 4 11:13 17
9 Real Santander 13 3 7 3 15:19 16
10 Inter Palmira 13 4 4 5 10:14 16
11 Envigado 13 2 8 3 14:13 14
12 Union Magdalena 13 3 5 5 13:15 14
13 Orsomarso 13 3 5 5 9:12 14
14 Bogota 13 3 5 5 9:13 14
15 Leones 13 3 5 5 11:19 14
16 Barranquilla 13 3 4 6 17:20 13
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)