Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Valencia F.
46'
46'
Sub
Montoya J. In: Moreno D.
Out: Montoya J.
54'
54'
Rodriguez Cespedes C.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Leones and Quindio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quindio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Quindio carry the better recent record into this one.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Leones Clean Sheet 68%
Quindio Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones | Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Quindio
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Leones
3:0
Sep 15, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Leones
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Quindio
4:1
Oct 22, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Leones
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Cespedes C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Quindio Compare
Top Goalscorer Valencia F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones 41 / 100
Quindio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones Quindio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Leones's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Leones went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Quindio has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leones VS Quindio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones
(Home) 15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0 Patriotas
11 Oct
Union Magdalena
2 : 2 Leones
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1 Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0 Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6
15 Oct
Leones
1 : 0 Patriotas
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1 Barranquilla
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3 Atletico F.C.
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6 Cartagena
Page 1 of 3
Quindio
(Away) 16 Oct
Quindio
1 : 1 Cartagena
11 Oct
Barranquilla
4 : 1 Quindio
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0 Bogota
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Barranquilla
4 : 1 Quindio
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1 Quindio
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0 Quindio
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Cartagena | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 22:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Envigado | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 15:13 | 17 |
| 9 | Quindio | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11:13 | 17 |
| 10 | Real Santander | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 15:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter Palmira | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:12 | 14 |
| 14 | Bogota | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:13 | 14 |
| 15 | Leones | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:19 | 14 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:21 | 13 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
