Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa B vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Oviedo A.
36' Event
Oviedo A.
84' Event
Chaudar K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Leonesa B and Arandina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leonesa B
30%
Draws
37%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 15%
Arandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Arandina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Arandina
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Leonesa B
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Leonesa B
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Arandina
2:3
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Arandina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chaudar K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 31 / 100
Arandina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Leonesa B's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leonesa B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Arandina
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
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Arandina

(Away)
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Arandina
3 : 3
Bembibre
18 Apr
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
Arandina
11 Apr
Arandina
3 : 1
La Virgen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)