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Leonesa B vs Colegios Diocesanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
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Match Events

48' Event
Suarez A.
77' Event
Suarez A.

AI Match Summary

Leonesa B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Leonesa B
20%
Draws
7%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Leonesa B have won more games recently than Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Leonesa B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Leonesa B have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.14 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:0
Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Leonesa B
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:2
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Leonesa B
0:2
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Colegios Diocesanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 95 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Colegios Diocesanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Leonesa B scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leonesa B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Colegios Diocesanos
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

Colegios Diocesanos

(Away)
03 Oct
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)