Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa B vs Mirandes B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Vasconcelos de Souza I.
90' Event
Morante A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Leonesa B and Mirandes B finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leonesa B
20%
Draws
29%
Mirandes B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonesa B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leonesa B a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 68%
Mirandes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa B Mirandes B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mirandes B
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
1:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Mirandes B
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mirandes B vs Leonesa B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasconcelos de Souza I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morante A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mirandes B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa B 68 / 100
Mirandes B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa B Mirandes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa B found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Mirandes B has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Leonesa B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa B VS Mirandes B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa B

(Home)
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Leonesa B
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
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Mirandes B

(Away)
22 Aug
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 0
Mirandes B
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2
Villaralbo
02 May
Arandina
2 : 1
Mirandes B
25 Apr
Colegios Diocesanos
3 : 1
Mirandes B
18 Apr
Mirandes B
2 : 2
Bembibre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)