Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Alhamad J.
51'
51'
Morante A.
72'
72'
Carmona P.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Palencia CF
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palencia CF lately — more wins on the board than Leonesa B.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 17%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leonesa B | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Palencia CF
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Leonesa B
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Palencia CF
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leonesa B Compare
Top Goalscorer Alhamad J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Morante A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Diez V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leonesa B 31 / 100
Palencia CF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leonesa B Palencia CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Palencia CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leonesa B's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Palencia CF let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Leonesa B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leonesa B VS Palencia CF
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Leonesa B
(Home) 13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0 Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Leonesa B
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1 Mansilles
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1 Mansilles
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0 Numancia B
11 Apr
Leonesa B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
28 Mar
Leonesa B
0 : 4 Unionistas de Salamanca B
Page 1 of 3
Palencia CF
(Away) 13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1 Palencia CF
07 Jun
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1 Palencia CF
07 Jun
Guijuelo
1 : 2 Palencia CF
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
