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Leonesa vs Arenas Getxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Reino de León, León
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leonesa host Arenas Getxo in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Leonesa have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Arenas Getxo's 1.21 scored and 1.69 conceded. Head-to-head, Leonesa have won 1 to Arenas Getxo's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.63) back Arenas Getxo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Leonesa
20%
Draws
10%
Arenas Getxo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Arenas Getxo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Leonesa taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 20%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Arenas Getxo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Leonesa vs Arenas Getxo
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Arenas Getxo vs Leonesa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 85 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Arenas Getxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Leonesa's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Leonesa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Arenas Getxo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
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Arenas Getxo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)