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Leonesa vs Burgos CF

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Reino de León
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Barzic M.
7' Event
Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
(Penalty)
41'
Appin K.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leonesa and Burgos CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Leonesa
22%
Draws
60%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Burgos CF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Burgos CF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 17%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Burgos CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Burgos CF
0:2
Aug 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
5:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
0:0
Aug 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
0:1
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 20 / 100
Burgos CF 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Burgos CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leonesa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Burgos CF let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Burgos CF
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Santander422571090:6182
2Dep. A Coruna422211965:4477
3Almeria422281281:6374
4Malaga4221101175:5273
5Las Palmas422013957:4073
6Castellon4220121070:5172
7Burgos CF4220121048:3372
8Eibar4219101352:4067
9Cordoba4217101557:6161
10Gijon421871760:5461
11AD Ceuta4217101551:6361
12Albacete4216111556:5559
13FC Andorra4216101662:5458
14Granada CF4212121850:5648
15Real Sociedad B4212111952:6147
16Leganes4211131843:5146
17Valladolid4212102044:5746
18Cadiz4211102141:6143
19Mirandes4210102247:6940
20Huesca429112241:6338
21Leonesa429102339:6837
22Zaragoza428122235:5936