Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa vs Burgos CF

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio Reino de León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Barzic M.
7' Event
Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
(Penalty)
41'
Appin K.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 2025/2026 game between Leonesa and Burgos CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leonesa
35%
Draws
32%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leonesa haven't matched Burgos CF's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leonesa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular LaLiga2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Burgos CF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.82 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
1:0
May 24, 2026 LaLiga2
Leonesa vs Burgos CF
0:2
Aug 15, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
5:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
0:0
Aug 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Burgos CF vs Leonesa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 36 / 100
Burgos CF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonesa found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Leonesa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Burgos CF let in goals in 43% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Burgos CF
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
21 Aug
Atletico Astorga
1 : 1
Leonesa
15 Aug
Leonesa
5 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF

(Away)
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
31 Aug
Burgos CF
2 : 2
Real Sociedad B
23 Aug
Gijon
1 : 0
Burgos CF
16 Aug
Burgos CF
3 : 2
Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
Promotion - LaLiga (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)