Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa vs Real Aviles

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Abelenda B.
67' Event
Escobar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Leonesa
35%
Draws
39%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Real Aviles have won more games recently than Leonesa.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Real Aviles
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 4
Draws 9 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.82 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Leonesa vs Real Aviles
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
2:2
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:1
Aug 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:4
Feb 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Real Aviles Compare

Top Goalscorer Abelenda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 32 / 100
Real Aviles 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Leonesa found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Leonesa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Real Aviles
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
08 Aug
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Leonesa
05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1
Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 0
Leonesa
30 May
Real Sociedad B
1 : 1
Leonesa
24 May
Leonesa
0 : 2
Burgos CF
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Real Aviles

(Away)
13 Aug
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 1
Real Aviles
08 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Real Aviles
05 Aug
Leonesa
1 : 1
Real Aviles
01 Aug
Ponferradina
1 : 1
Real Aviles
29 Jul
Marino De Luanco
1 : 0
Real Aviles
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