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Leonesa vs Real Aviles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Abelenda B.
67' Event
Escobar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Leonesa
30%
Draws
29%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Aviles average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Leonesa's 0.86.
  • Model gives Leonesa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 19%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Real Aviles
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 10 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Leonesa vs Real Aviles
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
2:2
Aug 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:1
Aug 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:4
Feb 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Leonesa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Aviles Compare

Top Goalscorer Abelenda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 36 / 100
Real Aviles 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Leonesa found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Leonesa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Real Aviles
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
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Real Aviles

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2
Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
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