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Leonico vs Alagoinhas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Baiano 2 2014
Leonico Logo

Leonico

1 - 4
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Alagoinhas Logo

Alagoinhas

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas in this Baiano 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Leonico
20%
Draws
20%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leonico lately — more wins on the board than Alagoinhas.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Leonico Clean Sheet 12%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Alagoinhas
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.26 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Alagoinhas
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 83 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Alagoinhas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Alagoinhas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Leonico scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Alagoinhas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)