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Leonico vs Alagoinhas

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alagoinhas in this Baiano 2 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alagoinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leonico
6%
Draws
4%
Alagoinhas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alagoinhas lately — more wins on the board than Leonico.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leonico Clean Sheet 12%
Alagoinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Alagoinhas
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Alagoinhas
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 83 / 100
Alagoinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Alagoinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Alagoinhas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Difficult form: Alagoinhas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Leonico scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Alagoinhas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 7

Alagoinhas

(Away)
14 Jun
Alagoinhas
1 : 7
CSA
31 May
Juazeirense
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Alagoinhas
0 : 1
Jacuipense
10 May
ASA
3 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo972019:123
2Jacobina962115:420
3CE Flamengo962122:1220
4Alagoinhas951318:1216
5Itabuna940513:1112
6Fluminense de Feira93338:1012
7EC Ypiranga932414:1211
8Jequie932412:1311
9Leonico90187:221
10Ipitanga90184:351
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)