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Leonico vs SSA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Leonico Logo

Leonico

0 - 3
FT
SSA Logo

SSA

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Samir
50' Event
Ruan Levine
(Penalty)
61' Event
Ruan Levine
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SSA in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leonico
15%
Draws
42%
SSA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SSA lately — more wins on the board than Leonico.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Leonico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%
SSA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico SSA
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.34 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Baiano 2
Leonico vs SSA
0:3
May 25, 2025 Baiano 2
SSA vs Leonico
1:1
Jun 11, 2024 Baiano 2
Leonico vs SSA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Samir
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Levine
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 74 / 100
SSA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico SSA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: SSA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Leonico's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: SSA conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS SSA
2 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

SSA

(Away)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)